

Coastal Flood Risk to European Surface Transport Infrastructure at Different Global Warming Levels
A 2026 study finds coastal flooding already costs Europe €519M/year in transport damage, rising to €1.09B at 4°C, with roads most exposed and rail most expensive to repair.
6 min read


Multidecadal Atlantic "Warming Hole" Heat Content Variations Are Caused by Ocean Heat Transport, Not by Surface Fluxes
A 2026 study confirms the Atlantic "cold blob" is caused by weakening ocean heat transport, not surface heat loss — a clear AMOC slowdown signal.
6 min read


Enduring Impacts of El Niño on Life Expectancy in Past and Future Climates
El Niño doesn't just spike mortality — it slows health progress for over a decade. New research puts the future cost at US$35 trillion by 2100.
3 min read


Impacts of Global Warming on Subnational Poverty and Inequality
New research across 130 countries finds each degree of warming could push nearly 100 million more people into poverty — and national data barely captures it.
3 min read


Peak Glacier Extinction in the Mid-Twenty-First Century
New research tracks not how much glacier ice we lose, but how many individual glaciers will vanish — and the peak is coming by mid-century.
4 min read


Temporary Carbon Dioxide Removals to Offset Methane Emissions
A 2025 study proposes using temporary 30-year CO₂ removals to offset methane emissions.
7 min read


Microclimates Slow and Alter the Direction of Climate Velocities in Tropical Forests
A 2025 study finds that tropical forest microclimates halve effective climate velocities for ground-dwelling species and reduce them to near-zero within the canopy.
7 min read


Observed Large-Scale and Deep-Reaching Compound Ocean State Changes Over the Past 60 Years
A 2025 study finds that multiple ocean stressors — warming, deoxygenation, salinity shifts, and acidification — are emerging across up to 32% of the global subsurface ocean, creating compound climate hotspots with growing risks for ecosystems and fisheries.
6 min read


Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Would Lead to Substantial Oceanic Carbon Release and Additional Global Warming
A 2026 study finds that AMOC collapse would trigger deep Southern Ocean convection, releasing 47–83 ppm of CO₂ and adding ~0.2°C of global warming.
6 min read


Global Warming Intensifies Extreme Day-to-Day Temperature Changes in Mid–Low Latitudes
A 2025 study finds that extreme day-to-day temperature swings have intensified since the 1960s across low and mid-latitudes.
6 min read


Increasing Risk of Mass Human Heat Mortality if Historical Weather Patterns Recur
A 2025 study projects that historical European heat waves recurring under 3–4°C warming could kill tens of thousands in a single week.
5 min read


Pan-Basin Warming Now Overshadows Robust Pacific Decadal Oscillation
A 2025 study reveals that North Pacific pan-basin warming now overshadows the robust PDO, disrupting historical ecosystem correlations and demanding updated fisheries management approaches.
4 min read


Principles for a Post-Growth Scenario of Ambitious Mitigation and High Human Well-Being
Post-growth scenarios synthesize 5 principles—well-being, sufficiency, equity, realigned economy, north-south convergence—challenging growth-oriented mitigation pathways.
5 min read


Negative Verbal Probabilities Undermine Communication of Climate Science
IPCC's "unlikely" terminology undermines consensus perception vs. "small probability" across 8 experiments (N=4,150), weakening when projections exceed expectations.
4 min read


Conservation Agriculture: Helping to Return to Within Planetary Boundaries
Conservation Agriculture on 200M ha sequesters 0.5-0.9 t C/ha/yr, cuts inputs 50-70%, and offers universal scalability to reverse boundary transgressions.
5 min read


Another El Niño Already? What Can We Learn from It?
Hansen projects 2027 temperature record of 1.7°C driven by high climate sensitivity and 2015 aerosol reduction, testing acceleration hypothesis.
5 min read


Future Mesoscale Horizontal Stirring in Polar Oceans Intensified by Sea Ice Decline
Sea ice loss intensifies ocean stirring in polar regions by 60-90%, transforming heat transport, nutrient cycling, and ecosystems under warming.
6 min read


Global Temperature in 2025, 2026, 2027
Earth's temperature hit +1.47°C in 2025 (2nd warmest year). Hansen projects new record of +1.7°C in 2027, confirming accelerated warming at 0.31°C/decade.
4 min read


Multi-Century Global and Regional Sea-Level Rise Commitments from Cumulative Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Coming Decades
Emissions until 2050 lock in 0.3 m more sea-level rise by 2300 than historical emissions, growing to 0.8 m by 2090—highlighting near-term mitigation's control over multi-century coastal fate.
6 min read


The Carbon Hoofprint of Cities is Shaped by Geography and Production in the Livestock Supply Chain
US cities’ meat emissions rival home energy use, driven by geography—not appetite—revealing big climate wins from diet and waste shifts.
9 min read